Michigan Law Review, Nov 2003 v102 i2 p268(60) Insuring against terrorism - and crime. Saul Levmore; Kyle D. Logue. I. INTRODUCTION ... One aim of this Article is the exploration of the relationships between promised or expected government actions (or inactions) and private decisions regarding terrorism risk. These issues lead to some novel ideas about the role of government in insuring against terrorism--and then against crime more generally. In Part II we begin with some background on the response of the private-insurance market and the federal government to the losses resulting from September 11th. Part III looks at the positive question of how government and private actors should be expected to respond to the losses of 9/11 and to the prospect of such losses in the future. It explores the interactions between government relief and charitable responses to 9/11, as well as the existence or absence of private insurance, and it draws contrasts between terrorism disasters and natural disasters, as well as between 9/11 and prior terrorist attacks. Part III also analyzes the circumstances in which episodic relief of the 9/11 variety will lead to (or be replaced by) more permanent, routinized relief, as is available in some other countries. Part IV takes up the normative question of the optimal mix of government and private relief (including insurance) for terrorism-related losses. It provides a skeptical view of government intervention in property-insurance markets generally and of the particular federal terrorism-reinsurance regime that Congress recently adopted. Part V then broadens the inquiry by arguing that, whatever one thinks of the case for government-sponsored terrorism compensation or insurance, the case for government-sponsored insurance against crime--which is to say a much broader set of crimes than terrorism alone--is at least as sound. Part VI concludes. ... IV. THE OPTIMAL MIX OF GOVERNMENT RELIEF AND PRIVATE INSURANCE ... The case for government intervention is fueled by another difference between terrorism and natural disasters, namely the location of expertise and information about these risks. In the case of potential terrorist attacks, the government has powerful intelligence-gathering capabilities that no private insurer can muster--and this is the sort of information that the government will not readily share with insurance companies. Although it is easy to imagine an information-sharing partnership between the public and private sectors with respect to natural disasters (so that meteorological and seismological data might, for example, be exchanged), such an arrangement is difficult to imagine with respect to terrorism. (99) This difference between natural and human-made disasters might at first appear to suggest a reason for government intervention in the manner of the British system, in which the government is a reinsurer rather than a primary insurer. (100) But the reasoning is weakened by the realization that if the government conceals information in the interest of national security, then it is unclear how the government will be able to use that very same information in designing and pricing its own brand of terrorism insurance. (101) Observers who value the behavioral effects that market pricing can produce will thus be slow to approve of government involvement in this arena. ... (99.) Although it is difficult to imagine the government sharing its intelligence regarding terrorist targets with private insurers, the reverse--using private-insurance markets to produce useful information for the government--is certainly conceivable. Indeed, the short-lived plan to create a market in "terrorism futures" would have produced a version of this. The idea there was to generate new sources of reliable information regarding when and where the next attack would occur by letting people--including (if was hoped) some people with exceptionally good private information on the issue--essentially bet on the question, and thereby profit from their information. When the program was made public, however, there was an outcry among commentators and politicians, leading to a decision by the Defense Department to end it. One of the main concerns was that terrorists themselves might, either directly or indirectly, be able to profit from the program. See Reuven Brenner, A Sale Bet, WALL ST. J., Aug. 1, 2003, at A8. ... Saul Levmore Dean & William B. Graham Professor of Law, University of Chicago Law School.--Ed. Kyle D. Logue Professor of Law, University of Michigan Law School. ...